September 8-9

Some of the lingering questions in the short term are starting to have better answers.  I still think precipitation has some questions regarding timing -- that will have to sort out, most likely as rain and storms get going.  It appears that anything during the day on Wednesday...especially before 5-6 pm will be isolated to widely scattered and non-severe.  IF WE SEE SEVERE WEATHER...it should come after 5-6 pm and it really looks isolated to widely scattered (as far as severe goes)  A couple of cells may have severe levels of wind and small hail.  I am not expecting a lot of severe weather.  I am expecting between Wednesday night and Thursday afternoon to have some places that see 1.00"-1.50"+ of rain.  AREAS NEED RAIN!  There are areas that haven't seen rainfall in 10 days.  Still losing about 0.20" from the soil this time of year, if we don't get places that pick up meaningful rain over the next ten days, we will be talking about a flash drought for some for sure!  WE ARE still looking at a more lengthy, appreciable cool down coming at the end of the forecast period.  NO FROST EXPECTED anytime soon.  I'm still looking at early October for the first widespread frost.  We may not even have a light freeze on a large scale basis until we get into later October.  Our growing season technically extends until we have a killing freeze of 28 degrees or colder.   There will be places that don't see that until (well into?) November.