September 14-15

I hope you enjoyed Sunday and Monday!  There were MANY places that awoke today to temperatures in the 40's.  My low this morning was 52 degrees.   My high temperature was only 73!  The far south saw highs around 80 to the low 80's.  This is going to be a distant memory by Tuesday afternoon.  Temperatures will be cool, but not nearly as cool tomorrow morning.  We won't notice much in the way of heat or humidity until the afternoon.  When both of those take off, they will soar.  Places will go from the upper 50's to middle 60's and end up adding 30+ degrees from low to high.  A dry front will pass from south to north in the afternoon, kicking up the wind and surging the temperatures back well above normal.  Heat Advisories are in place for the far southwest and south-central areas through Wednesday night.  There, heat indices should range from 101-106 degrees.  The rest of the state will be hot and very sticky, but not to advisory threshold.  There will be a chance rain and thunderstorms somewhere in the state for much of the time period from Tuesday night through Tuesday of next week.  IT WILL NOT RAIN ALL DAY ANY DAY!  Severe thunderstorm chances are there, especially:  Tuesday night/overnight into Wednesday - - Wednesday afternoon/evening possibly into the overnight -- Thursday and Friday roughly during the same time periods.  Right now, marginal to slight risks look likely with severe wind and flash flooding as the top two threats.  I AM STILL going with (for now) more in the way of FALL LIKE TEMPERATURES with next to no humidity levels arriving this weekend north, with a gradual stepping down of the heat over the course of a few days as we work our way south.  There will be a return to above normal heat (80's) as we end the month before a surge of real fall like air (30's for lows) as we get just into October.   Let's take all the rain we can get before next Tuesday!  I still see below to much below normal rainfall from around the 23rd of September through at least October 18-20th.