May 1-2

YES - it is May 1st.  It feels more like it should be March 15th - except on March 15th we had highs in the 70's.  We have cold air up above.  You don't have to go too high up to find temperatures below freezing.  There were several reports of graupel over the northern third of the state today along with scattered drizzle with an embedded brief downpour.  Expect more of the same over the next 2 afternoons into the early evenings.  There may be some thunder - maybe some graupel/hail with a few short bursts of rain.  Most of you will see nothing and those that do will see minor amounts of rain.  We are in the early stages of a Clipper parade.  This is a very winter like pattern.  If this were January we would be looking at one minor snowfall after another.  We are cooler than normal all the way to around May 15th.  There are Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings out for the northern half of the state, and the southeast.  The thinking is clouds will be more prevalent over the southwestern quarter of the state...keeping temperatures warm.  For those expecting frost, guidance has lows from 30-35 degrees.  Somebody will see a 27 or 28 degree low tomorrow morning - most likely somewhere around Logansport, New Castle, Richmond and/or Marion.  I think some frost advisories are likely Saturday night, but not as widespread.  Although there is conflicting guidance, I would expect May to take a very warm to hot feel between May 18 towards the 28th or 29th as a southern hot dome sets up.  We should also turn active with severe risks as we get closer to the end of the month.  Although the first 3 weeks of the month should average below normal rainfall wise...we make make up for lost time before the month is over.   May should end/June should open cooler, drier and less humid before we get active by June 10th.