August 25-26

As I posted earlier, the SPC pushed the SLIGHT RISK for severe weather on Wednesday a bit further south.  There are some atmospheric factors in play, cold air aloft, some shear, some lift, some decent convective energy -- there will also be some smoky/haze in the atmosphere.  It remains to be seen how many thunderstorms will develop in at least somewhat of a capped atmosphere, thanks to the smoke.  At best, it looks like a broken line of thunderstorms.  Timing looks to be 5/6 pm or so north/northwest to 9/10 pm along the I-70 corridor to 11/Midnight along the SE/south central regions.  Storms that do fire have the capabilities of being severe, but should weaken as they get to or just past I-70.  Rainfall shouldn't be overly heavy and I am not concerned right now with flash flooding.  The humidity ticks upward for Wednesday but lowers Thursday.   Thursday, Friday and Saturday look to be the last truly pleasant days until we get into or just past Labor Day weekend as it looks now.  There will be a daily chance for thunderstorms next week - with some severe potential.  Analog data suggest multiple slight risk days -- maybe an enhanced risk thrown in!  Just what we don't need!!!   Between August 31th and September 6th, temperatures will be hot, nights will be stuffy, and some areas of the state will see between 2"-5" of rain!  If you are looking for the first widespread 30's for lows - don't look to September!  I'd be eyeing that first week of October!