September 18-19

There ARE some questions in the forecast.  Our frontal boundary sank further south today than I thought it would.  It won't likely push as far north tomorrow as originally thought.  We likely will have a 35-40 degree temperatures range from far north to southwest.  The same is possible Sunday.  We are going to have waves of thunderstorms - some producing heavy rainfall.  There is a chance for severe weather -  Saturday 11 am to 5 pm, Saturday 11:45 pm through Sunday around 6/7 am and then again mid afternoon to early evening on Sunday.  Wind is the main threat, but all modes of severe weather are possible.  Based upon where guidance is, and where its been, I think some places will see an additional 3"-4"+ of rainfall.   We will have to see where heavier bands and storms set up.  There are questions about how much sunshine we will see next week as the much cooler air moves in.  We may have widespread low clouds -- and given the rain and heat -- there may be some areas of pretty thick fog.  If you don't hit 90 degrees Saturday or Sunday -- your odds of seeing another 90 this year are about none.  Don't forget, ahead of our early October cool down into the 30's for many, there will be a brief period of heat as we close out September.  A lot of 80's are likely during that time period (Sept 28-Oct 1/2).  I am not seeing a widespread freeze until October 23rd or later.  It may be a light freeze at that.   If you are craving "cold" -- you have a wait, but we should see more typical late September/October air in here soon.   I still think we are below to well below normal rainfall wise for a month -- Sept 23 through October 22/23.